TAX ANSWERS

Gambling Winnings, Losses and Kalshi Bets

How sportsbook, casino and prediction-market winnings are taxed, and the new 90% rule for losses.

Call (727) 300-1676 Free Tax Office Hours

The short answer

All gambling winnings are taxable, whether or not you get a tax form. Losses only help if you itemize, only up to your winnings, and starting with 2026 returns only 90% of your losses count. Winnings on prediction-market apps like Kalshi, Polymarket and Robinhood are taxable too, but the IRS hasn't said yet how they should be reported.

Last reviewed: October 2026

This page explains how taxes and reporting work. It isn't a recommendation to gamble, bet or trade, and FL Tax Experts isn't affiliated with any casino, sportsbook or prediction-market platform.

What counts as gambling winnings

Florida has no state income tax, but federal tax still applies. If you won in another state, that state may tax it.

Tax forms: W-2G, and why "no form" doesn't mean "no tax"

Casinos, sportsbooks and lotteries send Form W-2G for larger wins. Starting in 2026 the IRS's minimum reporting threshold is $2,000, and the exact trigger depends on the game. For sports and other wagers, the win generally also has to be at least 300 times the bet. Some large wins have 24% federal tax withheld.

Smaller wins without a form are still taxable. The IRS says to report all gambling winnings on Schedule 1 of your Form 1040.

Losses: the three limits

  1. You have to itemize. Losses go on Schedule A. If you take the standard deduction, as most people do, your losses don't reduce your tax at all.
  2. Only up to your winnings. You can't deduct a net loss for the year, and you can't carry it forward.
  3. New for 2026: only 90%. A 2025 federal law limits the deduction to 90% of your losses, starting with 2026 returns. That means you can owe tax even if you broke even or came out behind.

Example of the 90% rule

You win $10,000 and lose $8,000 in 2026. Before, you'd deduct the full $8,000 and pay tax on $2,000. Now you can deduct only $7,200, so you pay tax on $2,800, even though you only came out $2,000 ahead.

Keep a log. The IRS expects a diary or similar record of each session (date, place, game, amounts won and lost) plus tickets, receipts and your app or player-card statements.

The hidden cost: your AGI goes up

Winnings count in full toward your adjusted gross income (AGI). Losses come off later, on Schedule A, if at all. A higher AGI can mean more of your Social Security is taxed, higher Medicare premiums a couple of years later, or a smaller health insurance (ACA) premium credit, even in a year you lost money overall.

Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood and other prediction markets

Prediction markets let you buy "yes" or "no" contracts on events, like who wins the World Series. Each contract pays $1 if you're right and nothing if you're wrong. Platforms such as Kalshi, Polymarket US and Robinhood offer them, regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), not by state gaming boards.

The profit is taxable. What's not settled is what kind of income it is. As of fall 2026, the IRS has issued no guidance on these event contracts. Tax professionals are reporting them in four different ways:

What tax forms you'll get

No form doesn't mean no tax. What to do: download your yearly profit-and-loss statement from each platform, keep a record of deposits and withdrawals, pick one treatment with your preparer and use it consistently, and expect the rules to change once the IRS weighs in.

Hedging or betting both sides

Some people hedge, for example by betting the Rays at a sportsbook and buying a "no" contract on an app, or by holding "yes" on one platform and "no" on another. How that's taxed is unsettled and can get complicated: depending on how each side is treated, a win on one side may be fully taxable while the loss on the other side is limited or delayed. If you hedge across platforms, keep detailed records of when you opened and closed each side, and talk to a tax pro before you file.

And if you bet with crypto

Using bitcoin or other crypto to fund a bet, or to buy contracts, counts as selling the crypto, so you may have a capital gain or loss before the game even starts. Winnings paid in crypto are income at their dollar value when you receive them. See how crypto is taxed.

Official and expert sources

If gambling has stopped being fun, the Florida Council on Compulsive Gambling's free, confidential helpline is 888-ADMIT-IT (gamblinghelp.org).

More Tax Answers

See all of our plain-English tax answers, or book Free Tax Office Hours to ask your own question.

Disclaimer: This page is general information, not tax advice. Every situation is different, and tax rules change. Reading this page doesn't make you a client. FL Tax Experts is not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood or any sportsbook or casino.

Had a Big Year at the Book, or on an App?

Bring your W-2Gs and platform statements. Call us or book a free Office Hours call to talk it through.

Call (727) 300-1676 Free Tax Office Hours

The information on this website is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute tax, legal, or financial advice. It should not be relied upon as a substitute for consultation with a qualified tax professional regarding your specific circumstances. Use of this website does not create a client relationship. Tax laws and IRS procedures are subject to change and vary by individual situation.